So this is my latest prediction ...
2012 -- Republican is elected president.
To see how this could happen, consider this article: It’s Always the Economy, Stupid
For decades now, political scientists have been building election models that attempt to predict who will win in November without making any reference to candidates or campaigns. They can get within 2 points of the final vote, and they don’t need to know anything about the ads and the gaffes and the ground games. All they really need to know about is the economy.
2014 -- The US attacks Iran
The oil supply takes a hit, causing the global economy to lurch into a tailspin. The Chinese economy falls over, so the CCP attacks someone (e.g. Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Vietnam, Kazakhstan). The US responds, at which point it is at war in 4 countries (Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran & China). Overextended much?
Pakistan and India go to war (and remember, they both have nuclear weapons).
Global trade falls over, leading to food shortages in, for example, Egypt and the middle east and Africa.
The US finds itself short of oil, so the economy falls over, plus shipping stuff and growing food takes a hit.
And so on ...
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